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DUMAS Patrice

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CIRAD researcher in the CIRED laboratory on adaptation to climate change in the context of uncertainty. Main themes are currently the agricultural and water sectors. Also working on the assessment of the economic consequences of climatic extreme events.

I collaborate with the CERES-ERTI (Environmental Research and Teaching Institute) at the ENS on data assimilation and business cycles. Also associated with the LMD laboratory on coupling methodologies in the TEF-ZOOM collaboration.



45bis, Av de la Belle Gabrielle

F-94736 Nogent-sur-Marne, France

Tel: 33 1 43 94 73 90

Fax: 33 1 43 94 73 70

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PhD thesis

L’évaluation des dommages du changement climatique en situation d’incertitude : l’apport de la modélisation des coûts de l’adaptation

- Patrice Dumas, Stéphane Hallegatte, Pere Quintana-Seguì and Eric Martin (2013). The influence of climate change on flood risks in France – first estimates and uncertainty analysis. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Volume 13, pp 809-821. DOI 10.5194/nhess-13-809-2013.

- Patrice Dumas, Minh Ha-Duong (2013). Optimal growth with adaptation to climate change. Climatic Change Volume 117, Issue 4, pp 691-710. DOI 10.1007/s10584-012-0601-7. pdf

- Souty, F., Brunelle, T., Dumas, P., Dorin, B., Ciais, P., Crassous, R., Müller, C., and Bondeau, A.: The Nexus Land-Use model version 1.0, an approach articulating biophysical potentials and economic dynamics to model competition for land-use, Geosci. Model Dev., 5, 1297-1322, doi:10.5194/gmd-5-1297-2012, 2012

- Hypatia Nassopoulos, Patrice Dumas, Stéphane Hallegatte (2012). Adaptation to an uncertain climate change: cost benefit analysis and robust decision making for dam dimensioning. Climatic Change, volume 114, pages 497­-508. DOI 10.1007/s10584-012-0423-7. pdf.

- Stéphane Hallegatte, Nicola Ranger, Olivier Mestre, Patrice Dumas, Jan Corfee-Morlot, Celine Herweijer and Robert Muir Wood (2011). Assessing climate change impacts, sea level rise and storm surge risk in port cities: a case study on Copenhagen. From the Climatic Change issue entitled "Special Issue: Understanding Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation at City Scale". Volume 104, Number 1, 113-137, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-010-9978-3.

- Jean-Charles Hourcade, Philippe Ambrosi, Patrice Dumas (2009) Beyond the Stern Review: Lessons from a risky venture at the limits of the cost-benefit analysis, Ecological Economics, Volume 68, Issue 10, Pages 2479-2484, ISSN 0921-8009, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.04.011.

- pdf S Hallegatte, M Ghil, P Dumas, JC Hourcade (2008) Business Cycles, Bifurcations and Chaos in a Neo-Classical Model with Investment Dynamics, J. Economic Behavior & Organization, 67(1).

- Lahellec, A., Hallegatte, S., Grandpeix, JY., Dumas, P., Blanco, S. (2008) Feedback characteristics of nonlinear dynamical systems, Europhysics Letters.

- Hallegatte, S., Dumas, P., Can natural disasters have positive consequences? Investigating the role of embodied technical change, Ecological Economics (2008), doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2008.06.011

- pdf S. Hallegatte, J.-C. Hourcade, P. Dumas (2007) Why economic dynamics matter in assessing climate change damages : illustration on extreme events, Ecological Economics, volume 62, issue 2, pp. 330-340, doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.06.006

- Doyen L., Dumas, P., Ambrosi, P. (2007) Optimal timing of CO2 mitigation policies for a cost-effectiveness model, Mathematical and Computer Modelling, 48.

- pdf Philippe Ambrosi, Jean-Charles Hourcade, Stéphane Hallegate, Franck Lecocq, Patrice Dumas, Minh Ha-Duong (2003) Optimal control models and elicitation of attitudes towards climate change, Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 8 (3):135-147. Special Issue on Modeling the economic response to global climate change.


- Portoghese I., Bruno E., Dumas P., Guyennon N., Hallegatte S., Hourcade J.-C., Nassopoulos H., Pisacane G., Struglia M. V., Vurro M. (2013) Impacts of climate change on freshwater bodies: quantitative aspects, in Regional Assessment of Climate Change in the Mediterranean: Volume 1: Air, Sea and Precipitation and Water, eds. A. Navarra et L. Tubiana. DOI:10.1007/978-94-007-5781-3_9, Springer, series Advances in Global Change Research, 241-306.

- Elisabetta Genovese, Stéphane Hallegatte, Patrice Dumas (2011) Damage Assessment from Storm Surge to Coastal Cities: Lessons from the Miami Area, in Advancing Geoinformation Science for a Changing World, eds. Stan Geertman, Wolfgang Reinhardt and Fred Toppen, Springer, series Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography. DOI:10.1007/978-3-642-19789-5_2, 21-43.

- pdf Patrice Dumas, Minh Ha-Duong. An abrupt stochastic damage function to analyse climate policy benefits, dans Alain Haurie et Laurent Viguier, editeurs, The coupling of climate and economic dynamics, Essays on Integrated Assessment. Springer, 2005, série Advances in Global Change Research, ISBN 1-4020-3424-5.